Prediction: Toluca vs Pumas UNAM – Liga MX – 22/07/2026
Preview
Toluca will host Pumas UNAM at Estadio Nemesio Diez on Sunday, 22nd July 2026, at 00:00 BST in Liga MX. Toluca currently sits third in the table with 3 points from 1 game, while Pumas UNAM occupies 18th place with 0 points after 1 match. Toluca has been in decent form, boasting 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last five games. They have shown resilience, bouncing back from a 2-0 defeat to Guadalajara with a 6-5 win over Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. Pumas UNAM, on the other hand, has struggled, with 2 defeats and 3 losses in their last five games. They have been unable to find consistency, with a 0-3 defeat to Pachuca being one of their most recent setbacks.
Toluca
Fulltime Result
Pumas UNAM
home
51.01%
draw
25.99%
away
23%
Toluca will host Pumas UNAM on July 22, 2026, in Liga MX. Our experts believe that Toluca will take advantage of their recent form to secure a win. In their last five games, Toluca have been impressive, with four victories and one defeat. They convincingly beat Guadalajara 2-0 and Cancún 1-0, while also emerging victorious in the CONCACAF Champions Cup against Tigres UANL and Los Angeles FC. Their only defeat came at the hands of Pachuca, who won 2-0. Toluca's recent performances suggest they are in good shape, with a clear advantage in their last five games.
Pumas UNAM, on the other hand, have had a mixed run of results. They suffered a heavy defeat to Pachuca, losing 3-0, and also lost to América de Cali in a friendly match. However, they have had some positive results, including a 3-0 win over Cancún and a 1-2 victory over Cruz Azul. Their recent performances are less convincing than Toluca's, but they still pose a threat.
Our experts believe that Toluca's recent form and impressive results give them a slight advantage in this match. They estimate that Toluca will win around 51% of the time, while Pumas UNAM will win around 23%. The probability of a draw is estimated to be around 25.99%. Toluca's recent victories and Pumas UNAM's inconsistent form suggest that Toluca will take the three points.
Toluca's key player, will miss the game due to injury. Pumas UNAM's key player will miss the game due to suspension. There are no rumors about the match at this time. Both teams can count on all their players.
Toluca
Both Teams To Score
Pumas UNAM
yes
51.85%
no
48.15%
Our experts believe that both teams have a good chance of scoring in the match between Toluca and Pumas UNAM. In the last five games, Toluca scored a total of 13 goals, while Pumas UNAM found the net 9 times. Based on recent performance and offensive capability shown by both teams, this is a moderado risk bet.
Toluca
Over/Under
Pumas UNAM
Over 1.5
yes
74.58%
no
25.42%
Over 2.5
yes
51.33%
no
48.67%
Over 3.5
yes
30.15%
no
69.85%
Over 4.5
yes
18.33%
no
81.67%
Our statistical model recommends betting on Over/Under 2.5 Probability goals in the game between Toluca and Pumas UNAM. In the last five games, Toluca scored a total of 21 goals, while Pumas UNAM scored 11 goals. Considering recent performance and offensive capability shown by both teams, this is a moderado risk bet.
Toluca
Toluca x Pumas UNAM Last matches
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
20%
Draw
60%
Pumas UNAM
20%
Average statistics (latest matches)
Average goals 2.8
Both teams score 80
Goals scored(time 1) 1.6
Goals scored(time 2) 1.2
Over 2,5 40
Under 2.5 60
Toluca
Total results
Pumas UNAM
46 matches
20
wins
/
15
draws
/
11
wins
20
wins
(43%)
15
draws
(33%)
11
wins
(24%)
Recent form
Toluca
Wins
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
Losses
3/6 (50%)
Average statistics (latest matches)
Total goals 3.5
Both score 16.67%
Goals scored 2
Goals conceded 1.5
Over 2,5 33.33
Less 2,5 66.67
CONCACAF Champions Cup - 07/05/2026
CONCACAF Champions Cup - 31/05/2026
Liga MX - 19/07/2026
Pumas UNAM
Wins
2/6 (33.33%)
Draws
1/6 (16.67%)
Losses
3/6 (50%)
Average statistics (latest matches)
Total goals 1.83
Both score 16.67%
Goals scored 0.83
Goals conceded 1
Over 2,5 50
Less 2,5 50
Liga MX - 18/05/2026
Liga MX - 22/05/2026
Liga MX - 25/05/2026
Club Friendlies 3 - 05/07/2026
Club Friendlies 3 - 12/07/2026
Liga MX - 18/07/2026
Latest news and statistics from Toluca
Toluca is gearing up for the second round of the 2026/2027 Liga MX, having secured three points from their opening game. The team's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a 2-0 victory over Guadalajara in their last league match being a highlight. However, they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Cancún in a friendly game, which may have raised some concerns for the coaching staff. In their previous Liga MX match, Toluca's 6-5 win over Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions Cup was a significant result, showcasing their ability to come from behind and secure a victory. On the other hand, their 2-0 loss to Pachuca in the same competition was a setback. Additionally, their 4-0 win over Los Angeles FC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup was a positive display of their attacking prowess. As Toluca prepares for the upcoming match against Pumas UNAM, they will be looking to build on their positive performances and address any areas of concern. The team's recent form and standings will be crucial in determining their chances of success in the second round of the Liga MX.Latest news and statistics from Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM will face Toluca in the second round of the 2026/2027 Liga MX, looking to bounce back from a disappointing start. The team currently sits at the bottom of the table with zero points after one game, a result that will be a concern for the coaching staff and players. In their last five matches, Pumas UNAM has shown some signs of improvement, but consistency has been a major issue. They suffered a 3-0 defeat to Pachuca in their previous Liga MX match, which was followed by a 1-0 loss to América de Cali in a friendly match. However, they did manage to secure a 3-0 win over Cancún in another friendly match, which will give them some hope for the upcoming match against Toluca. The team's recent form has been a cause for concern, and they will need to regroup and refocus if they are to avoid a second consecutive defeat. Pumas UNAM will be looking to improve their defensive solidity, which has been a major issue in their previous matches. They will also need to find a way to create more scoring opportunities, as they have struggled to find the back of the net in recent games. Toluca, on the other hand, will be looking to build on their positive start to the season. They will be a tough opponent for Pumas UNAM, and the team will need to be at their best if they are to secure a positive result. The match promises to be an intense and exciting encounter, with both teams looking to claim all three points.Toluca
latest line-ups
Pumas UNAM
Lineup
22.
Luis García
19.
Santiago Simón
6.
Federico Pereira
25.
Everardo del Villar
20.
Jesús Gallardo
5.
Franco Romero
35.
Érick Gabriel Gutiérrez Galaviz
10.
Jesús Angulo
8.
Nicolás Castro
9.
Alexis Vega
29.
Jorge Díaz
Lineup
Keylor Navas
1.
Rodrigo López Quiñónes
7.
Nathanael Ananias da Silva
6.
Rubén Duarte Sánchez
5.
Álvaro Angulo
77.
Santiago Trigos Nava
20.
Pedro Vite
45.
Sebastián Córdova
17.
Robert Morales
31.
Stanley García
203.
Juninho
23.
Bench
1.
Hugo González
2.
Diego Barbosa
3.
Antonio Briseño
4.
Bruno Méndez
7.
Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán
11.
Helinho
13.
Luan
17.
Brian García
24.
Fernando Arce
191.
Carlos Carrillo
Bench
Pablo Bennevendo Peña
2.
Guillermo Martínez Ayala
9.
Cristian Calderón
12.
Víctor Arteaga
18.
Alan Medina
22.
Tony Leone
24.
Santiago López López
30.
Ángel Amhed Azuaje García
34.
Pablo Lara
35.
Kleber Carranza Anguiano
199.
Standings Toluca x Pumas UNAM
Apertura
.
No
team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
#: position
team: team
P: played
W: wins
D: draws
L: losses
GF: goals for
GA: goals against
GD: goal difference
Pts: points
#Final Series
#Final Series Play-offs
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM FAQ
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM when?
The match between Toluca and Pumas UNAM will take place on 22/07/2026. Don't miss this great game and the chance to bet on it!
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM what time?
The game between Toluca and Pumas UNAM will start at 04:05 Brasília time on 22/07/2026.
Toluca vs Pumas UNAM who won?
We don't know who will win the duel between Toluca and Pumas UNAM, and that's why we love football. However, our experts believe that betting on the victory of team Toluca can be a moderate risk choice.