Published: 2021-07-11 By: The Guru
I think there are few people in Europe that would argue against the fact that we likely have the two best teams in the tournament in the final.
Italy started their campaign like a train and quickly moved up the favourites list with glittering attacking performances and a rock-solid defence that looked like it would never be beaten.
On the other side, England started their campaign slowly and have built momentum throughout with the highlight coming in the thrashing of Ukraine.
When it comes to minutes played, Italy have undoubtly had the tougher tournament with two of their knockout games going through 120 minutes and the Spain game going through to penalties. England have only gone past 90 minutes once, in their last outing against Denmark.
When we look at the other factors that may affect the final, the biggest has to be that the game is being played at Wembley stadium, effectively making it a Home game for England and due to Covid restrictions, there are likely to few Italian supporters in the stadium compared to England.
As I sit here looking at the stats for this one - in an attempt to pick out successful bets there is a strong sign that this could break out from the recent form as something simply has to give here!
Italy have averaged two goals a game through this tournament - but face an England team that have only conceeded one goal in total! The last two head-to-head's between the teams finished 1-1 and the two before that were 2-1 and 1-2 so there is really very little that can be used to pick between them here.
Based on everything we have seen - the conclusion we are making is that this is going to be a tight low-scoring game.
So taking that, we have picked out the following as our favrourite bets for tonight's game.
As you can see above, we are expecting the game to go to extra time - where we think the game still will not be completed - so our final prediction:
Good luck to everyone having a bet on the game... Feel free to tweet us your betting slips on Twitter and we will share our favourites ahead of kick-off.
Enjoy the game!
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