Prediction: Independiente del Valle vs Libertad – Liga Pro Ecuador – 23/05/2026
Preview
Independiente del Valle will host Libertad at the Estadio Olímpico in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on Sunday, May 23, 2026, at 8:00 PM BST in the Liga Pro Ecuador. The home team tops the table with 34 points from 15 games, while Libertad languishes in 10th place with 17 points after the same number of matches.
Independiente del Valle has been in excellent form, winning four of their last five games and drawing one. Their recent performances have been impressive, with a 4-1 victory in the Copa Libertadores being a standout result. They also secured a 3-2 win over Libertad in the same competition, showcasing their attacking prowess.
Libertad, on the other hand, has struggled in their last five games, winning one and drawing one. They suffered a 4-2 defeat in the Copa Ecuador, while also losing 0-1 to Deportivo Cuenca in the Liga Pro Ecuador. Their 3-2 victory over Aucas in the Liga Pro Ecuador was a rare bright spot in an otherwise disappointing period.
The stage is set for an intriguing encounter between these two teams, with Independiente del Valle looking to continue their winning ways and Libertad seeking to end their slump.
Independiente del Valle
Fulltime Result
Libertad
home
76.03%
draw
16.11%
away
7.85%
Independiente del Valle will host Libertad on May 23, 2026, in the Liga Pro Ecuador. Our experts believe that Independiente del Valle will emerge victorious, given their impressive recent form. In their last five games, Independiente del Valle have been unbeaten, with four victories and one defeat. They have shown exceptional strength, particularly in their 4-1 win over Libertad in the Copa Libertadores, and their 3-0 triumph over Universidad Católica in the Super Cup. Libertad, on the other hand, have struggled, with only one win in their last five games. They were defeated 4-2 by LDU Portoviejo in the Copa Ecuador and 3-0 by Macará in the Liga Pro Ecuador.
Independiente del Valle's recent success can be attributed to their solid defence, which has allowed them to maintain a clean sheet in four of their last five games. In contrast, Libertad's defence has been vulnerable, conceding seven goals in their last five matches. Our experts believe that Independiente del Valle's attacking prowess will be too much for Libertad to handle, and they will likely emerge victorious.
In terms of key players, both teams appear to be at full strength, with no notable absentees. However, our experts have noticed that Libertad's midfielder, Gonzalo Mastaccolo, has been in good shape, scoring crucial goals in their recent matches. On the other hand, Independiente del Valle's striker, Diego Palacios, has been impressive, netting four goals in their last five games.
As for rumors, there have been no significant whispers about this match. However, our experts believe that Independiente del Valle's recent success has made them a clear favourite to win. Our experts predict that Independiente del Valle will win the match, with a slight advantage expected in the first half. Libertad will need to pull off a miracle to turn the game around, but our experts believe that Independiente del Valle's superior form will ultimately lead to their victory.
Independiente del Valle
Double Chance
Libertad
draw_home
92.14%
draw_away
23.96%
home_away
83.88%
Our statistical model recommends a Double Chance bet on Independiente del Valle for the game against Libertad, considering this a moderate risk bet.
Independiente del Valle
Both Teams To Score
Libertad
yes
44.96%
no
55.04%
Our experts believe that there is a low probability of both teams scoring in the match between Independiente del Valle and Libertad. In the last five games, Independiente del Valle scored a total of 9 goals, while Libertad found the net 9 times. Based on recent performance and offensive capability shown by both teams, this is a moderado risk bet.
Independiente del Valle
Over/Under
Libertad
Over 1.5
yes
78.95%
no
21.05%
Over 2.5
yes
55.92%
no
44.08%
Over 3.5
yes
32.94%
no
67.06%
Over 4.5
yes
22.26%
no
77.74%
Our statistical model recommends betting on Over/Under 2.5 Probability goals in the game between Independiente del Valle and Libertad. In the last five games, Independiente del Valle scored a total of 19 goals, while Libertad scored 22 goals. Considering recent performance and offensive capability shown by both teams, this is a moderado risk bet.
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle x Libertad Last matches
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
40%
Draw
40%
Libertad
20%
Average statistics (latest matches)
Average goals 3
Both teams score 80
Goals scored(time 1) 1.4
Goals scored(time 2) 1.6
Over 2,5 40
Under 2.5 60
Independiente del Valle
Total results
Libertad
9 matches
3
wins
/
4
draws
/
2
wins
3
wins
(33%)
4
draws
(44%)
2
wins
(22%)
Recent form
Independiente del Valle
Wins
4/6 (66.67%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
Losses
2/6 (33.33%)
Average statistics (latest matches)
Total goals 3.17
Both score 33.33%
Goals scored 2.17
Goals conceded 1
Over 2,5 66.67
Less 2,5 33.33
Copa Libertadores - 06/05/2026
Liga Pro - 10/05/2026
Super Cup - 13/05/2026
Liga Pro - 16/05/2026
Copa Libertadores - 20/05/2026
Liga Pro - 23/05/2026
Libertad
Wins
2/6 (33.33%)
Draws
1/6 (16.67%)
Losses
3/6 (50%)
Average statistics (latest matches)
Total goals 3.67
Both score 66.67%
Goals scored 1.5
Goals conceded 2.17
Over 2,5 66.67
Less 2,5 33.33
Liga Pro - 16/05/2026
Copa Ecuador - 19/05/2026
Liga Pro - 23/05/2026
Latest news and statistics from Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle, the Ecuadorian football club, is gearing up for the 15th round of the 2026 Liga Pro Ecuador. Currently, they hold the top spot in the standings with an impressive 34 points after 15 games. Their recent form has been nothing short of impressive, with a string of victories that has propelled them to the forefront of the competition. In their last five matches, Independiente del Valle has showcased their prowess, demonstrating their ability to perform under pressure. Firstly, they came close to securing a win against Libertad in the Liga Pro Ecuador, eventually succumbing to a 2-3 defeat. However, they bounced back strongly in the Copa Libertadores, routing Libertad 4-1. This was followed by a convincing 3-0 victory over Macará in the Liga Pro Ecuador, cementing their position at the top. Their Super Cup triumph over Universidad Católica, 3-0, further solidified their dominance, and a hard-fought 1-0 win over Barcelona Guayaquil in the Liga Pro Ecuador rounded off their recent run. As they prepare to face Libertad once again in the 15th round of the Liga Pro Ecuador, Independiente del Valle will be looking to maintain their unbeaten streak. With their current form and the team's overall performance, they are likely to enter the match as favourites. However, football is a unpredictable sport, and Libertad will be looking to cause an upset. The stage is set for an intriguing encounter, with both teams eager to make their mark on the competition.Latest news and statistics from Libertad
Libertad is gearing up for the 15th round of the 2026 Liga Pro Ecuador, and their recent form suggests they are gaining momentum. After 15 games, they sit 10th in the standings with 17 points, a respectable position considering their inconsistent start to the season. A closer look at their last five matches reveals a promising trend. They secured a thrilling 3-2 win over Independiente del Valle, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, they suffered a setback with a 4-2 defeat to LDU Portoviejo in the Copa Ecuador, highlighting their vulnerability on the counter-attack. Libertad's home form has been a mixed bag, with a 0-1 loss to Deportivo Cuenca and a 3-2 victory over Aucas. Their away performances have been equally inconsistent, with a 1-1 draw against Emelec and a 2-3 win over Independiente del Valle. As Libertad prepares for the upcoming match, they will need to address their defensive frailties and capitalize on their attacking strengths to secure a positive result.Independiente del Valle
lineup
Libertad
Lineup
1.
Aldair Quintana
4.
Jhon Espinoza
33.
Andy Velasco
23.
Juan Viacava
15.
Gustavo Cortez
32.
Jhegson Méndez
55.
Darwin Guagua
16.
Ronald Briones
8.
Youri José Ochoa Sampertegui
11.
Matías Perelló
99.
Djorkaeff Reasco
Lineup
David Cabezas
12.
Elvis Patta
17.
Carlos Gruezo
5.
Manuel Erasmo Lucas
25.
Ariel García
36.
Jackson Gabriel Rodríguez Perlaza
20.
Hancel Javier Batalla Carreño
11.
Cristhian Javier Valencia Sánchez
63.
Iván Zambrano
7.
Gabriel Cortez
10.
Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja
9.
Bench
6.
Jordy Alcívar
9.
Carlos González
10.
Júnior Sornoza
12.
Eduardo Bores
13.
D. Romero
14.
Mateo Carabajal
17.
Aron Rodríguez
19.
Layan Loor
20.
Aníbal Gómez
31.
Emerson Pata
50.
Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
53.
Justin Lerma
Bench
Stick Castro
8.
Bryan Corozo
19.
Jawer Guisamano
23.
Rody Zambrano
29.
Jostin Bravo
30.
Antony Chére
33.
Dany Coronel
49.
Ariel Bao
52.
Vilington Branda
70.
Standings Independiente del Valle x Libertad
Regular Season
.
No
team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
#: position
team: team
P: played
W: wins
D: draws
L: losses
GF: goals for
GA: goals against
GD: goal difference
Pts: points
#Championship Round
#Qualifying round
#Relegation Round
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad FAQ
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad when?
The match between Independiente del Valle and Libertad will take place on 23/05/2026. Don't miss this great game and the chance to bet on it!
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad what time?
The game between Independiente del Valle and Libertad will start at 01:00 Brasília time on 23/05/2026.
Independiente del Valle vs Libertad who won?
We don't know who will win the duel between Independiente del Valle and Libertad, and that's why we love football. However, our experts believe that betting on the victory of team Independiente del Valle can be a moderate risk choice.